Joseph Guillaume

Postdoc fellow, PhD (ANU)

p: +358-50-4072906
Visiting fellow at the Australian National University 

Main research interests:

  • Uncertainty in model-based science and decision support
  • Role of uncertain predictions and models in global and local water resource management, including global water scarcity and global food security
  • Use of visualisation, optimisation, boundary critique and resilience for exploration of uncertainty
  • Evaluation of environmental watering and irrigation efficiency measures under uncertainty
  • Hydrological model assessment and development (

Selected publications:

  • Guillaume JHA, Kummu M, Eisner S, Varis O (2015) Transferable Principles for Managing the Nexus: Lessons from Historical Global Water Modelling of Central Asia. Water 7(8) 4200. doi:10.3390/w7084200
  • Fu B, Guillaume JHA, Jakeman AJ (2015) An Iterative Method for Discovering Feasible Management Interventions and Targets Conjointly Using Uncertainty Visualizations. Environmental Modelling & Software 71 (September): 159–73. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.05.017
  • Guillaume JHA, Kummu M, Räsänen TA, Jakeman AJ (2015) Prediction under Uncertainty as a Boundary Problem: A General Formulation Using Iterative Closed Question Modelling. Environmental Modelling & Software 70: 97–112. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.04.004
  • Salmivaara A, Porkka M, Kummu M, Keskinen M, Guillaume JHA, Varis O (2015) Exploring the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem in Spatial Water Assessments: A Case of Water Shortage in Monsoon Asia. Water 7(3): 898-917. doi:10.3390/w7030898
  • Elsawah S, Guillaume JHA, Filatova T, Rook J, Jakeman AJ (2015) A Methodology for Eliciting, Representing, and Analysing Stakeholder Knowledge for Decision Making on Complex Socio-Ecological Systems: From Cognitive Maps to Agent-Based Models. Journal of Environmental Management 151C (January): 500–516. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.11.028
  • Hamilton SH, ElSawah S, Guillaume JHA, Jakeman AJ, Pierce SA (2015) Integrated Assessment and Modelling: Overview and Synthesis of Salient Dimensions. Environmental Modelling & Software 64 (February): 215–29. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.12.005
  • Shin M, Guillaume JHA, Croke BFW, Jakeman AJ (2015) A Review of Foundational Methods for Checking the Structural Identifiability of Models: Results for Rainfall-Runoff. Journal of Hydrology 520: 1–16. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.11.040
  • Guillaume JHA, Kummu M, Porkka M, Varis O (2014) A conceptual model to guide exploration of global food-water security. In: Ames, D.P., Quinn, N.W.T., Rizzoli, A.E. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 7th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, June 15-19, San Diego, California, USA. ISBN: 978-88-9035-744-2, available at:
  • Vervoort RW, Miechels SF, van Ogtrop FF, Guillaume JHA (2014) Remotely sensed evapotranspiration to calibrate a lumped conceptual model: Pitfalls and opportunities, Journal of Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.10.034
  • Arshad M, Guillaume JHA, Ross A (2014) Assessing the Feasibility of Managed Aquifer Recharge for Irrigation under Uncertainty. Water 6 (9). Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute: 2748–69. doi:10.3390/w6092748
  • Fu B, Guillaume JHA (2014) Assessing Certainty and Uncertainty in Riparian Habitat Suitability Models by Identifying Parameters with Extreme Outputs. Environmental Modelling & Software 60 (October): 277–89. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.06.015
  • Haasnoot M, van Deursen WPA, Guillaume JHA, Kwakkel JH, van Beek E, Middelkoop H (2014) Fit for Purpose? Building and Evaluating a Fast, Integrated Model for Exploring Water Policy Pathways. Environmental Modelling & Software 60 (October): 99–120. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.05.020
  • Guillaume JHA, El Sawah S (2014) Fostering assumption-based stress-test thinking in managing groundwater systems: learning to avoid failures due to basic dynamics. Hydrogeology Journal. DOI:10.1007/s10040-014-1153-x
  • Shin, M-J, Guillaume JHA, Croke BFW, Jakeman AJ (2013) Addressing ten questions about conceptual rainfall-runoff models with global sensitivity analysis in R. Journal of Hydrology 503:135-152, DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.08.047
  • Bennett, N.D., B.F.W. Croke, G. Guariso, J.H.A. Guillaume, S.H. Hamilton, A.J. Jakeman, S. Marsili-Libelli, L.T.H. Newham, J.P. Norton, C. Perrin, S.A. Pierce, B. Robson, R. Seppelt, A.A. Voinov, B.D. Fath and V. Andreassian (2013) Characterising performance of environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. (40) pp1-20. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.09.011
  • Pierce, S.A., J.M. Sharp, J.H.A. Guillaume, R.E. Mace, D.J. Eaton. (2013). Aquifer Yield Continuum as a Guide and Typology for Science-based Groundwater Management, Hydrogeology Journal, 21(2), pp 331-340 DOI:10.1007/s10040-012-0910-y
  • Joseph, J.F., J.H.A. Guillaume (2013) Using a parallelized MCMC algorithm in R to identify appropriate likelihood functions for SWAT, Environmental Modelling & Software, 46, pp 292-298, DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.03.012.
  • Guillaume, J.H.A, M. E. Qureshi and A. J. Jakeman (2012) A structured analysis of uncertainty surrounding modeled impacts of groundwater extraction rules, Hydrogeology Journal, 20(5), pp915-932 DOI: 10.1007/s10040-012-0864-0